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NBR Reports

NBR Reports are occasional papers on special topics conducted by the world's leading experts in Asian affairs. Report PDFs are free for 60 days after publication. Print copies are available upon request. Please contact orders@nbr.org for price and availability.


NBR Reports (Sep 2008)

Emerging Leaders in East Asia: The Next Generation of Political Leadership in China, Japan, South Korea, and Taiwan

J. Patrick Boyd, L. Gordon Flake, Cheng Li, Kenneth B. Pyle, Shelley Rigger and Richard J. Samuels

Major powers in East Asia are undergoing important political leadership transitions. In China, Japan, South Korea, and Taiwan, a new generation is emerging, equipped with unique experiences and backgrounds. Exploring how these future leaders are likely to respond to regional trends and anticipating their policy preferences as they assume increasingly important leadership positions is critical to a well-grounded understanding of Northeast Asia in the 21st century. This report represents the culmination of a year-long initiative launched by NBR to provide U.S. government and corporate leaders with a better understanding of East Asia’s future leadership. By examining the qualities and characteristics that define these rising leaders and distinguish them from their predecessors, the initiative explores the possible implications of their emerging influence for U.S. foreign, economic, and security policy interests.

Table of Contents

Political Generations in East Asia: The Policy Significance
Kenneth B. Pyle

China’s Fifth Generation: Is Diversity a Source of Strength or Weakness?
Cheng Li

Prosperity’s Children: Generational Change and Japan’s Future Leadership
J. Patrick Boyd and Richard J. Samuels

The Rise, Fall, and Transformation of the “386”: Generational Change in Korea
L. Gordon Flake

Rising Rationalists: The Next Generation of Leadership in Taiwan
Shelley Rigger

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